U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government, Department of Justice.

Module 7: Uncertainty and Limitations of Probablistic Genotyping Systems

Event Dates
Location
Online
This module of the Probabilistic Genotyping of Evidentiary DNA Typing Results workshop series addresses the uncertainty and limitations of probabilistic genotyping systems that are used to calculate likelihood ratios and infer genotype sets from DNA typing results.

Probabilistic reasoning provides a means to characterize these results, given the unknown information in forensic evidence, the stochastic environment, and sources of variability.

Instructors in Module 7 will explore strategies of interpretation and decision making in light of these and other variables, such as the uncertain number of contributors, and will share research on the impact of these variables on the likelihood ratio.

Instructors:

Amke Caliebe � University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany
Zane Kerr � Institute on Environmental Science and Research, Auckland, New Zealand
Klaas Slooten � Netherlands Forensic Institute & Vrije University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Bianka Szkuta � Victoria Police Forensic Services Department & Deakin University, Geelong, Australia

Detailed Learning Objectives:
- Describe sources of uncertainty in mixture interpretation and their influence on the likelihood ratio
- Devise a strategy to address contributor number assignment/re-assignment
- Address questions regarding the potential for DNA to be transferred through contact and persist on evidence
- Be aware of developments that assist the courts in considering activity level propositions

Date Created: February 3, 2021