NCJ Number
32828
Date Published
Unknown
Length
39 pages
Annotation
FINAL REPORT ON A PROJECT TO DEVELOP AN ANALYTICAL FEEDBACK MODEL CONCERNING RECIDIVISM TO HELP SHAPE THE DEVELOPMENT OF JUSSIM (JUSTICE SYSTEM INTERACTIVE MODEL).
Abstract
A PAPER IS INCLUDED ENTITLED, 'AN ANALYTICAL AND EMPIRICAL STUDY OF THE RECIDIVISM PROCESS'. THIS WORK DEMONSTRATES THAT IT IS POSSIBLE TO APPROXIMATE THE TOTAL ARRESTS BASED ON REPORTED DATA FROM UNIFORM CRIME REPORTS FROM A CURVE OF VIRGIN ARRESTS GENERATED BY ESTIMATING A SINGLE VALUE OF THE PROBABILITY OF FIRST ARREST FOR EVERY AGE CATEGORY, WHILE RECOGNIZING ONLY THE POPULATION CHANGES BY AGE OVER THE PERIOD 1930 TO 1970.