NCJ Number
72670
Date Published
1976
Length
410 pages
Annotation
This research examines the Uniform Crime Reports (UCR)and victimization survceys to establish theories and methods for understanding physical injury and property loss in personal crime. An exposure model of criminal victimization is presented.
Abstract
The UCR system does not systematically collect and record data about loss and injury for each crime. However, a review of 8 National Crime Panel victimization surveys conducted by the Census Bureau in 1972 and 1973 found that the correlates of crimes which result in theft and those which result in injury to the victim differ significantly. The two analytical methods used in this research--the numerical taxonomy of victimization probabilities and the comparison of victim characteristics in specific offense classes to the distribution of characteristics in the general population--suggest an exposure model of criminal victimization. According to this victimization-opportunity model, certain situations exist in which the probability of personal victimization is high. These situations may be characterized by objective attributes, such as the time of day, number of persons around, and specific (usually public) places. Further, identifiable lifestyle differences of persons are directly related to the probability that they will be in high victimization-opportunity situations. These personal habits are also related to interpersonal associations. The exposure model suggests that, once controls for age, sex, and marital status are applied, persons with high involvement in conventional pursuits will have lower rates of personal crime than those not so involved. Persons are also expected to be victimized by offenders of the same age-sex group. In addition, the victimization-opportunity hypothesis suggests an inverse correlation between fear of crime and rates of personal victimization. Recommendations for UCR modifications include the addition of injury and loss information for each crime. Refinement of victim place and time variables and an examination of the validity of victim reports of offender characteristics are needed in future research. Data are needed not only on victims' reasons for not reporting crimes but also for reportimg them. Tabular data, chapter notes, and over 100 references are provided. Survey instruments and supplementary injury tables are appended.