Continuity in Crime: Sex and Age Differences (From Crime and Delinquency in a Metropolitan Cohort, 1989, P 56-82, Carl Gunner Janson, ed. -- See NCJ-121419)

• NCJ Number: 121422
• Author(s): J Andersson
• Date Published: 1989
• Length: 26 pages
• Sale Source: University of Stockholm
• Publication Type: Research (Applied/Empirical)
• Language: English
• Country: Sweden
• Note: Project Metropolitan, Research Report Number 26

Annotation

The question of continuity in serious criminality is the primary focus of this study.

Abstract

The study follows a cohort of 15,117 individuals from the age 15 to 30. For both males and females, the age-based transition probabilities are studied; the transitions for females conform to a first-order Markov chain. The original matrices can be seen as estimates from a single "parent matrix." This was not found to be the case for males. The study also looks at the discriminatory power of prior criminality for later transition probabilities, and it emphasizes the difference between the statement that a given percentage will relapse in crime and the ability to make real prediction. 12 tables, 5 matrices, 2 notes, 17 references. (Author abstract modified)