NCJ Number
233868
Journal
Journal of Interpersonal Violence Volume: 21 Issue: 5 Dated: May 2006 Pages: 612-633
Date Published
May 2006
Length
22 pages
Annotation
The purpose of this study was to cross validate the accuracy of the RMS and RMV compared with the Static-99 and SVR-20.
Abstract
The predictive accuracy of the newly developed actuarial risk measures Risk Matrix 2000 Sexual/Violence (RMS, RMV) were cross validated and compared with two risk assessment measures (SVR-20 and Static-99) in a sample of sexual (n= 85) and nonsex violent (n= 46) offenders. The sexual offense reconviction rate for the sex offender group was 18 percent at 10 years follow-up, compared with 2% for the violent offenders. Survival analyses revealed the violent offenders were reconvicted at twice the rate compared to sexual offenders. The RMV significantly predicted violent recidivism in the sex and combined sex/violent offender groups. Although the RMS obtained marginal accuracy in predicting sexual reconviction in the sex offender group, none of the scales significantly predicted sexual reconviction. An item analysis revealed four factors not included in the risk scales that were significantly correlated with sexual and violent reconviction. Combining these factors with Static-99, RMV, and RMS increased the accuracy in predicting sexual reconviction. (Published Abstract) Tables, figure, note, and references