NCJ Number
10233
Journal
Social Problems Volume: 13 Issue: 2 Dated: (FALL 1965) Pages: 160-175
Date Published
1970
Length
18 pages
Annotation
SHARPER DEFINITION OF THE IMPLICIT ASSUMPTIONS OF DELINQUENCY CONTROL PROGRAMS IS THAT PREDICTION CAN OFFER BETTER TREATMENT GUIDANCE.
Abstract
THE ASSUMPTIONS AND FINDINGS OF TWO EARLY PREDELINQUENT IDENTIFICATION PROGRAMS ARE BASED ON DISTINCTLY DIFFERENT CAUSATIVE PRINCIPLES. THE CAMBRIDGE-SOMERVILLE YOUTH STUDY EMPHASIZED THE EXTRAPOLATIVE APPROACH TO PREDICTION, IN WHICH QUASI-DELINQUENT BEHAVIOR DURING PRE-ADOLESCENCE IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO ADOLESCENT DELINQUENCY. THE NEW YORK CITY YOUTH BOARD PREDICTION STUDY WAS BASED ON THE PRINCIPLE OF CIRCUMSTANTIAL VULNERABILITY, BY WHICH YOUNGSTERS EXPOSED TO CERTAIN SOCIOCULTURAL CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DELINQUENT. THE BASIC ISSUES IN THIS COMPARISON OF THE TWO PROGRAMS CONCERN THE ACCURACY OF PREDICTION, THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CERTAIN TYPES OF INTENSIVE TREATMENT, AND THE POSSIBLE STIGMATIZING EFFECTS OF INTENSIVE TREATMENT. (AUTHOR ABSTRACT MODIFIED)