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Incapacitation as a Strategy for Crime Control - Possibilities and Pitfalls (From Crime and Justice - An Annual Review of Research, V 5, P 1-84, 1983, Michael Tonry and Norval Morris, eds. - See NCJ-92448)

NCJ Number
92449
Author(s)
J Cohen
Date Published
1983
Length
84 pages
Annotation
In view of the limited crime reduction and enormous increases in prison population associated with collective incapacitation policies, recent research has explored the potential benefits of selective or targeted incapacitation.
Abstract
If a small number of high-rate offenders commit a disproportionately large amount of crime, targeting limited prison resources on these offenders should achieve increased crime control without increasing prison populations unreasonably. Such a policy depends on identifying high-rate offenders prospectively and early in their careers. Recent efforts to use predictions of individual crime rates as a basis for selective incapacitation are plagued by ethical and empirical problems. An alternative approach relies on observed differences in the criminal career patterns of offenders charged with different offenses to identify offenses committed by offenders who on the average commit crimes at higher rates and have longer careers. This approach may achieve differential incapacitation effects while avoiding many of the ethical and empirical problems posed by sentencing policies that use individual-level predictions to distinguish among offenders. Footnotes, figures, tables, prediction equations, and about 70 references are supplied. (Author abstract modified)