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INMATE POPULATION PROJECTIONS, 1993 THROUGH 2000

NCJ Number
146202
Date Published
1993
Length
19 pages
Annotation
This report provides statistical projections of the inmate population in New York for fiscal years 1993 through 2000.
Abstract
A step-by-step outline of how the statistics were calculated is included. Projections rely heavily on the expected number of felony cases and their outcomes, and could be significantly altered in accordance with administrative policy, judicial interpretation, or legislation. In the span of 19 years, the population increased by 374 percent, or an average of 8.3 percent annually, to reach its total of 61,246 on March 31, 1992. Towards the year 2000, it is expected to rise 4.6 percent the first year, then slow to an average annual growth of 1.8 percent, reaching 72,776 on March 31, 2000. These projections are slightly different from those calculated the year before, primarily due to three recent developments: 1) expansion of the eligibility criteria for the Shock Incarceration Program; 2) a drop in the level of felony indictments; and 3) a dramatic reduction in the number of technical violators as a result of innovative efforts by the Division of Parole.