IOWA'S RISING PRISON POPULATION, V 1 - TENTATIVE PROJECTS OF INMATE POPULATION TO THE YEAR 2000

• NCJ Number: 39451
• Author(s): ANON
• Date Published: 1975
• Length: 55 pages
• Grant Number(s): 702-73-00-0470-43-01
• Sponsoring Agency: Iowa Crime Cmssn
• Corporate Author: Iowa Bureau of Correctional Evaluation
• Sale Source: National Institute of Justice/
• Language: English
• Country: United States of America

Annotation

TRENDS IN IOWA'S PRISON POPULATION FLUCTUATIONS ARE COMPUTED IN RESPONSE TO THE RAPID INCREASE SINCE 1973; THIS PAPER ADDRESSES THE CAUSES OF THE INCREASE, THEIR RELATIVE WEIGHT, AND DIFFERENT TEND FORECASTING METHODS.

Abstract

THE REPORT FOUND THAT THE TIDE OF NEW ADMISSIONS TO PRISON RESULTS PRIMARILY FROM AN INCREASED CRIME RATE AMONG YOUNG MALES AND FROM AN INCREASE IN THE NUMBER OF YOUNG MALES IN THE POPULATION. THIS PHENOMENON IS NOT TEMPORARY, NOR IS IT CAUSED BY THE RECESSION. THE REPORT FORECASTS THAT PRISON POPULATIONS WILL EXCEED THE CURRENTLY-PLANNED PHYSICAL CAPACITY OF THE EXISTING MEN'S PRISON SYSTEM BY AT LEAST 600, WHEN THEY REACH THEIR PEAK IN ABOUT 1982. EVEN IN THE MOST OPTIMISTIC PROJECTION, THE NUMBER OF MALE PRISONERS WILL NOT RETURN TO THE FISCAL 1975 LEVEL UNTIL ABOUT 1990. (AUTHOR ABSTRACT)...PLO