NCJ Number
202620
Date Published
May 2003
Length
25 pages
Annotation
This report presents a forecast for the West Virginia juvenile correctional population through the year 2013.
Abstract
Using the projection software Wizard 2000, researchers made monthly projections of key offender groups that would likely flow through West Virginia’s juvenile corrections system over the next 10 years. The methodology and model used to project the juvenile correctional population is described, as are the data sources used for the analysis. Four main databases were accessed: the Juvenile Corrections Database, the Juvenile Justice Database, the Daily Population Report, and the Confined Population Database. Information about West Virginia’s current juvenile correctional population gathered from the databases is presented, followed by the results of the projections for the future of this population. The projection suggests that if current juvenile crime and detention trends remained unchanged, the juvenile corrections population will increase to 222 by 2007 and to 279 by 2013. A graph is offered to illustrate forecast results. Suggestions are made for the use of the forecast and for the production of future forecasts. Tables, graphs