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MASS POLITICAL VIOLENCE - A CROSS-NATIONAL CAUSAL ANALYSIS

NCJ Number
32060
Author(s)
D A HIBBS
Date Published
Unknown
Length
268 pages
Annotation
EXAMINATION OF DOMESTIC VIOLENCE SINCE WORLD WAR TWO AT THE MACRO-POLITICAL LEVEL IN OVER 100 NATIONS, FOCUSING ON EVENTS THAT WERE ANTI-SYSTEM IN NATURE, OF IMMEDIATE POLITICAL SIGNIFICANCE, AND THAT INVOLVED COLLECTIVITIES.
Abstract
THE BOOK IS DIVIDED INTO THREE PARTS. THE FIRST IDENTIFIES SIX DOMESTIC VIOLENCE VARIABLES AND, THROUGH DIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS, ASCERTAINS TWO CLEARLY DEFINED CLUSTERS. THE FIRST CLUSTER, DENOTED AS COLLECTIVE PROTEST, IS INDEXED BY RIOTS, ANTI-GOVERNMENT DEMONSTRATIONS, AND POLITICAL STRIKES. THE SECOND, INTERNAL WAR, INCLUDES ARMED ATTACKS, DEATHS FROM POLITICAL VIOLENCE, AND POLITICAL ASSASSINATIONS. COMPOSITE MEASURES OF THESE CLUSTERS SERVE AS THE OPERATIONAL INDICATORS OF MASS POLITICAL VIOLENCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE BOOK. PART II PROVIDES THE EMPIRICAL FOUNDATION FOR A COMPREHENSIVE MODEL OF MASS POLITICAL VIOLENCE. AMONG THE FACTORS EXAMINED IN PART II ARE LEVELS AND RATES OF CHANGE IN SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; SOCIAL STRUCTURAL IMBALANCES AND SYSTEMIC FRUSTRATION AND SATISFACTION; THE BEHAVIOR OF POLITICAL ELITES, PARTICULARLY REPRESSION AND COUPS; AND IMPORTANT FEATURES OF DOMESTIC POLITICAL STRUCTURE, SUCH AS POLITICAL DEMOCRACY, COMMUNIST TOTALITARIANISM, AND LEFT PARTY STRENGTH. PART III INTEGRATES AND ELABORATES ON THE PROVISIONAL CONCLUSIONS AND FORMULATIONS OF PART II BY SPECIFYING A MULTI-EQUATION, BLOCK-RECURSIVE, CAUSAL MODEL OF MASS POLITICAL VIOLENCE. THE CORE OF THE MODEL IS A BLOCK OR SECTOR OF SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS WHICH MATHEMATICALLY ARTICULATES THE CAUSAL INTERDEPENDENCIES INFERRED, ON THE BASIS OF PRIOR THEORY AND INITIAL ESTIMATION RESULTS, TO BE OPERATIVE AMONG MASS VIOLENCE, ELITE REPRESSION, COUPS, AND THE RATE OF ECONOMIC CHANGE. OTHER SECTORS OF THE MODEL SPECIFY EQUATIONS FOR VARIABLES HYPOTHESIZED TO EXACT PREDETERMINED CAUSAL INFLUENCE ON THESE CORE ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES. (AUTHOR ABSTRACT)