NCJ Number
131500
Date Published
1989
Length
154 pages
Annotation
Forecasts of offender populations under the jurisdiction of the Correctional Service of Canada are provided for 1989 through 1999.
Abstract
The forecasts take into account such factors as changes in the Canadian labor force, public opinion, demographics, and crime rate trends. The total offender population is expected to increase from 19,885 in 1989 to 22,325 in 1995. This increase represents a growth rate of 12.3 percent or 2.3 percent per year. Forecasted yearly increases for males and females between 1989 and 1999 range from 1.5 to 3.7 percent. While demographic aging trends in Canada may not have a direct or immediate impact on the size of the Federal inmate population, crime rate trends likely will. Crime rate increases may alter the size of the Federal inmate population in two ways: by directly inserting more offenders into the criminal justice system, and by effecting a change in sentencing practices. Criminal justice policies to deal with the forecasted offender populations focus on sentencing, young offenders, offender management, community and institutional programs, and mental health services. Annexes contain statistics on the total offender population, male and female on-register populations, the male native on-register inmate population, and the supervision population. Tables and Figures