NCJ Number
81218
Date Published
1981
Length
92 pages
Annotation
The validity of risk-screening devices used in the Improved Correctional Field Services Project (ICFS) -- a project developed to test the effectiveness of using risk-screening procedures to assign probationers to different levels of supervision -- is examined.
Abstract
Three correctional field services (probation) projects -- in Kane County, Ill; Suffolk County, N.Y.; and Florida -- were developed and funded by LEAA in 1978. Each agency used a locally derived and validated risk-screening instrument. Major methodological issues in the development and testing of risk-screening devices are discussed. The instruments used by the participating agencies are examined in relation to these issues. Results of attempted validations of each instrument, based on the first cohort sample of ICFS cases for the first 6 months or probation supervision, are reported, and an exploratory study designed to improve risk assessment is described. Of the three sites, only one, Suffolk County, used an instrument with demonstrated substantial validity for probationers. When applied to the first ICFS sample, results for each site indicate that validity must be seriously questioned. The limitations of sample size, short followup, and possible confounding with treatment effects are such that further study of the ICFS risk-screening procedures is needed. Tabular data and 27 notes are provided. For other reports in the series, see NCJ 81216-17 and NCJ 81219-24. (Author abstract modified)