NCJ Number
143155
Date Published
1992
Length
7 pages
Annotation
This report presents simulations of the impacts of two corrections policies and projects the prison population if the jail backlog between fiscal years 1992 and 1998 is to be depleted.
Abstract
The simulations used the JUSTICE model developed by the Texas Criminal Justice Policy Council. One simulation (Diversion Model) assumes the admission to prison of all offenders projected to be in the backlog and the diversion from prison of offenders who are released from jails on parole under current policies. The second simulation (Increased Time Served Model) assumes that all offenders in the backlog and those who would have been released on parole from jails will be admitted to prison and will serve longer than under current policies. The simulation assumes that these policies were implemented in May 1992. Results reveal that the prison capacity necessary to exhaust the backlog under the Diversion Model will range from an equivalent of 124 percent of capacity in fiscal year 1992 to 130 percent in fiscal year 1998. Under the Time Served Model, the prison capacity needed will range from an equivalent of 127 percent of capacity in fiscal year 1992 to 238 percent in fiscal year 1998. The total inmate population will increase to 192,834 under the Time Served Model and to 105,765 under the Diversion Model. Figures and appended table